By Trevor Even, Sustainability Leadership Fellow and Ph. D. Student in the Department of Anthropology and the Graduate Degree Program in Ecology
Whether you are working toward developing more sustainable practices within industries, working with communities to develop climate change adaptation strategies, or working alongside government officials to mitigate risks and develop policies, understanding the local-level realities of the people you hope to help is the critical first step. Without understanding how people live, what they want, what they care about, and how the various risks they face shape their daily experiences, efforts to improve conditions are likely to face serious setbacks, being at best ham-fisted, and at worst, total failures. However, wading into local conversations about complex topics of livelihoods, climate, land use, and water management is no meager task. As a result, there is a need for social scientists and others to connect broader conversations about sustainability and climate change action to the diverse on-the-ground realities that people around the world experience.
Examining rural livelihoods and changing weather patterns in Colorado
My advisor Dennis Ojima and I have been working over the past year to develop a report, due to be released in the coming weeks: Changing Weather and Livelihoods in Rural Colorado. The report is an attempt to bring together the variety of local-level stories that are being told within the state’s diverse rural communities. We chronicle how recent shifts in global climate are manifesting themselves as dramatic changes in local weather patterns, and what this means for people attempting to make a living off of the land. We developed this report around conversations we’ve had with leaders in the recreation, agriculture, and public lands management fields, all of whom play a powerful role in rural areas of the state. We also leveraged local media reports, and previous Colorado-focused scientific research to provide decision-makers at multiple levels – as well as concerned members of the general public – with a grounded understanding of what large scale changes in weather patterns are already meaning for people whose livelihoods bring them into close contact with the state’s broad array of ecosystems, landscapes, and micro-climates. To do this, we focused on the ranching, farming, and outdoor recreation sectors, and told the stories of impacts from recent extreme weather events. We also highlight novel approaches to community organization, land use, and management that are being mobilized in response to these impacts.
Like many places across the Western United States and other semi-arid regions of the world, shifts in weather patterns associated with global climate change are already manifesting themselves in Colorado in a variety of ways, both subtle and catastrophic. Longer, more intense, and more destructive wildfire seasons, extended drought conditions, extreme storms, coupled with the amplification of existing pressures related to human population growth impose a serious challenge to livelihoods. People from a wide range of cultural backgrounds are finding themselves forced to come to grips with what an increasingly unpredictable “normal” means for their well-being. As temperatures have risen over the last several decades, the state’s largely winter-moisture-dependent ecosystems and landscapes are already showing signs of increasing strain. Given that Colorado is a state where water supplies are already heavily over-allocated, these climate-driven factors are also bringing significant pressure on both the complex water management systems found across the state and the economic systems that rely upon them. This tension leaves existing ways of life untenable as temperatures continue to rise and precipitation patterns become more volatile in the years to come.
Colorado’s urban-rural tensions & diverse economic interests
While the region’s growing cities face a variety of challenges (and will no doubt play a central role in future battles over the state’s limited water supplies), these risks are most potent in the state’s numerous rural and mountain communities, many of which rely heavily upon what are referred to as “land-based livelihoods.” These include things like farming, ranching, outdoor recreation services, hunting, fishing, and others, land-based livelihoods.
These careers, livelihoods, and lifestyles differ notably from more prototypically urban livelihoods found in the information, finance, or technology sectors in that they rely upon direct interaction with both natural ecosystems and outdoor weather as part of their operation. People engaged with land-based livelihoods can serve as a sort of “canary in the coal mine” when it comes to understanding how the various signals of a warming world get translated into impacts on well-being and insults to socio-ecological system arrangements. Because of this, they also represent a vanguard of adaptation, both in terms of specific practices within industries and the broader development of pathways toward community-level learning and action. As such, people engaged with land-based livelihoods form a critical area of investigation for those hoping to write the larger story of humanity’s transition toward more sustainable human-environment interactions.
Crisis calls for creative problem-solving and novel partnerships
What we found in our exploration of these issues was a network of rural communities in numerous states of transformation – both willful and regretted – as the ecosystems that they rely upon continue shifting in response to both increased human pressure and a warmer and more unpredictable climate. For example, in the San Luis Valley, located in the south-central region of the state, local farmers have found that dwindling groundwater supplies are no longer enough to provide for historical agricultural production methods as nearly twenty years of below-historical-average soil moisture levels drag on. In response, they have begun implementing a novel system for groundwater withdrawal management, with private water right owners entering into a valley-wide water banking system and lowering withdrawals in response to community reports and climate data.
Similarly, in the state’s many ski towns, increasing amounts of money are being spent mitigating the loss of snowpack through artificial means, and city councils and business coalitions are attempting to diversify local economies away from purely winter-dependent incomes as the season rapidly shortens and warm-weather conditions become more common. Some ski towns are also taking on a growing role in forest and river stewardship, working to maintain local environments as insect epidemics and high temperatures threaten to dramatically transform cherished landscapes and streams.
Some farmers and ranchers, also taking stock of these changing and fragile ecosystems, are implementing increasingly sophisticated methods of landscape management, both for improved soil health and wildlife habitat. However, in other areas, losses from wildfires, flooding, and extreme weather impacts have left many households and communities with seemingly few options as the vulnerabilities of increasingly aged and often impoverished rural areas see growing costs from disaster events. Indeed, as pressures from international market instabilities for agricultural products, demographic losses as young people move more and more to cities, and failing social service systems all converge, shifts in climate may force many rural communities into permanent decline.
Sustainable, local adaptation in an age of global change
With global action to mitigate climate change stagnating and, in places like Brazil and the United States, reversing course amid a convergence of regulatory capture, bald-faced ignorance, and a toxic mix of cynicism and stupidity, the need for scientists and researchers to find ways to more effectively advocate and promote shifts towards more sustainable and adaptive practices only grows. One of the most important dimensions of this lies in helping “outsiders” in the adaptation world (e.g., policy-makers, researchers, engineers, and others) gain a better understanding of how local communities understand and respond to the realities they are facing. What it is that those communities actually need to pursue their desired outcomes? Put another way: without understanding the local-level stories that people are already telling about the situations they are living in, we cannot change the trajectories of those stories’ characters. Without understanding the conversations that people are already having, it is difficult to begin a new one about the changes to local and state level institutions that sustainable transformations will likely require. As such, while it is critical that we continually take stock of how phenomena at state, regional, and broader scales interact with local phenomena, we must ground ourselves first in these local perspectives when working in settings where we hope to apply sustainability and adaptation science.
At a deeper level, this report ultimately finds that the most basic – and potentially powerful – means of adaptation and action comes in the form of communities learning to work together to address shared problems. As a result, efforts to bring about change will have to work in ways that integrate themselves in the experiences, plans, goals, and relationships that are already at play in local communities.
Because of this, our group hopes to turn more attention to these local level views and values in our on-going research, which will drill down on issues of water and the varied futures envisioned by different water system actors across the South Platte Basin, where much of the state’s population and water use transpires. More importantly, we hope that this work will enable us to begin a more diverse conversation on issues of sustainability and climate action across the state as we release the report to various statewide agencies, reporters, and other collaborators.
Further reading:
- If you are interested in finding out more about our work, or the forthcoming report, contact me at trevor.even@colostate.edu.
- See Gordon and Ojima, 2015 for more detailed information about recent climate change impacts in Colorado.
- See Lukas et al. 2014 for analysis of historical climate trends in Colorado.
